Who will lift the Vince Lombardi Trophy?

The Superbowl is labelled the greatest show on Earth for a reason, it is one hell of a show! With regards to top level American Football though I am not so sure.

Every championship game tends to be a tight affair, and I can't disagree with the bookies line of -3 New England Patriots here. 

Both teams have fantastic offence, but a lot of questions have been asked throughout the season around the Patriots D. There is no doubt that we are in for a lot of passing yards this game, with my calculation at 318 and 310 for Brady and Manning respectively. I think the Patriots will have enough on the night, it will probably be a lower scoring game than the 54 quoted, but I have found some decent value in other stats markets.

Under 4.5 Sacks 1/1 Sporting Bet. - I have this price at closer to 5/6, Manning should be the more susceptible on the night of the 2.

Team to punt the most New England Patriots 17/10 Tote- Comparing 3rd down %'s every bookie has the Giants as slight favorites, though I believe there is hardly anything in it, taking a wider perspective of how bad I think New Englands Defense really is. For the season opponents first down is 65.84 % for New England which is 29th in the league. The Giants are 18th but if you look at the other combinations, I think these two are a lot closer than the bookies have it.

GL