Micheal Fish - Knowledge is Power

Ok so maybe the well loved weatherman didn't quote "Knowledge is Power", but what is fitting is that when in comes to predicting the weather, we can extract some serious value out of some volatile sports markets.


The conditions for the recent Stoke Sunderland game were pretty abysmal, but its hard to gauge how the conditions will affect either sides performance / goal expectancy in Football. Rugby Union is a great sport to punt on when conditions look dire, as teams will struggle to control a scrum, establish a kicking game, or even get over the line when its tipping down.

3 Weeks ago with torrential rains across the country, I correctly predicted low scoring totals through the rugby union coupon that day landing a nice treble. It is by no means unusual to see expected total points in a game change from 48.5 to 35.5 with predicted snow or rain. If you can react quicker than the bookies, you wont ever go far wrong.

The key to this though is early mornings, and if like me you enjoy a decent Friday night, getting up at 7:00am for a rain check can be tough. If you get up early and with reasonable accuracy predict what the conditions will be like for the afternoon game, the chances are that the bookies haven't taken their prices down over night, so you can get huge value on the under points if its beginning to look grey.

Chris